Articles Posted in Outlook and Trends

Published on:

25 February 2010

Please see “troubled hotel loans – workouts, bankruptcies & receiverships” for the latest articles on troubled hotels.

CMBS loan delinquencies — a problem growing every month at a staggering rate.

According to the Monthly Delinquency Report issued by Realpoint a few days ago, the total outstanding amount of CMBS (Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities) tracked by that firm is almost $800 billion, of which approximately $46 billion was delinquent in January 2010.

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Published on:

1 February 2010

Please see “troubled hotel loans – workouts, bankruptcies & receiverships” for the latest articles on troubled hotels.

Hotel Lawyers with grim reports from the field. If lenders are looking for some encouraging news on their distressed hotel asset sales prospects, they are not going to get it anytime soon. That is what the Atlas 2009 Year End Hotel Survey shows, but it does offer some valuable tips for dealing with continued distress in 2010.

Here is an executive summary.

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Published on:

31 January 2010

Hotel Lawyer: A new realism settles on the hotel industry. We’ve already given up 2010 and 2011 won’t be that much better . . . then a long, slow “jobless recovery.”

“Realism” was the defining word for the ALIS conference held in San Diego on January 25-27, 2010. ALIS attendance was roughly half or less of last year, and the experts officially declared 2009 one of the worst years for the hospitality industry. They have already thrown in the towel on the industry for 2010, and look to an anemic 2011, with double digit growth in RevPAR after that . . . but we are so far down the hole now, that even double digit RevPAR growth will take years to reclaim the levels enjoyed in 2005-2007.

So what does this portend for lenders? And what is the smart money doing now?

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Published on:

3 November 2009

Hotel Lawyer: The transient occupancy tax litigation by cities and local governments continues to mushroom.

On November 3, Florida filed one of the first lawsuits against Expedia and Orbitz for lost bed taxes, but using the Florida Deceptive and Unfair Trade Practices Act.

Although October was a big month in the OTC battles, November may be even bigger. Today, we are going to look at the latest litigation filings and what they mean.

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Published on:

1 November 2009

How Expedia, Orbitz, Travelocity and other online travel companies (OTCs) create huge headaches for owners and operators on their suits over hotel occupancy taxes.

Billions of dollars of hotel rooms have been sold through the online travel companies or OTCs. Generally speaking, no transient occupancy taxes (TOT) or bed taxes, have been paid on the portion of these sales kept by the OTCs when they resell the rooms to hotel guests. The exposure on these unpaid hotel bed taxes easily exceeds $100 million — before interest and penalties.

Until now, most of the press has focused on the lawsuits brought by more than 200 local governments against Expedia, Orbitz, Travelocity and the other third party internet hotel booking companies. As many of these lawsuits now reach final resolution, some cities have announced that if they don’t win against the OTCs, they will take aggressive action to collect these lost bed taxes from the hotels themselves. And OTCs have said that if they lose, they may come back against the hotels.

Who will be the biggest loser in this high-stakes poker game, and how did we get here? If you think you already know that, then skip to end of this article to see if you also have a firm grip on the “5 things every hotel owner and operator needs to know.”

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Published on:

28 September 2009

Hotel Lawyers’ insights from The Lodging Conference at the Arizona Biltmore. As our Global Hospitality Group® members compared notes from last week’s Phoenix Lodging Conference, we had some observations we wanted to share. Congratulations to Morris Lasky and Harry Javer for another great event.

Here is our take on what happened in Phoenix . . .

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Published on:

13 September 2009

Florida Supreme Court invalidates parental release. Hotel Lawyers suggest fast action.

A recent opinion out of Florida involving a fatal ATV accident to a 14 year old at an ATV track could have a major impact on the validity of parental release forms. In the case of Kirton v. Fields, the Florida Supreme Court ruled that a pre-injury release signed by a parent is not valid against a minor who is injured while participating in a “commercial activity.” While other courts have reached similar results, the Kirton case has attracted nationwide attention and may lead those other states that currently uphold parental release forms to change their law to follow Florida’s lead.

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Published on:

30 August 2009

This is one of many articles on the subject of “troubled hotel loans – workouts, bankruptcies & receiverships” in the rich library at www.HotelLawBlog.com.

Hotel Lawyer with some bad news for the luxury hotel segment.

From some reactions, you might think that the likely “End Of The Recession” by the end of 2009 means that the “Recovery” is close behind.

Unfortunately, what follows next will not feel much better for many for a very long time. Nowhere is that more true than in the luxury hotel segment, where Smith Travel Research foresees a 27% drop in RevPAR for 2009 followed by another 9% in 2010!

Here are a few of the most interesting slides from Smith Travel Research and other industry sources since August 20, 2009, focusing on the luxury hotel segment. How bad are things? How bad are they likely to get from here? Fasten your seat belt!

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Published on:

22 July 2009

Hospitality Lawyer with the Atlas Hospitality mid-2009 Survey, and some observations on its broader implications for the hotel industry on a national basis.

The hospitality lawyers of JMBM’s Global Hospitality Group received an early copy of the July 22, 2009 Atlas Hospitality Group 2009 Mid-Year California Hotel Sales Survey. This new Survey has an entirely different focus than the Atlas Survey released last month on hotel foreclosures that caused such a stir. Maybe the results are intuitive to some, but we found the quantification of distress in hotel markets quite remarkable, and we believe there are profound national implications of these Survey results.

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Published on:

9 July 2009

This is one of many articles on the subject of “troubled hotel loans – workouts, bankruptcies & receiverships” in the rich library at www.HotelLawBlog.com.

Hospitality Lawyers with some perspective on recent developments.

My friend Steve Van at Prism Hotels has a great Hotel Default Blog. I you haven’t seen it, you should take a look. His most recent article (“The Sky is Really Falling”) sparked some perspective on whether the hotel industry is finally reaching a critical RESET point we have been talking about on www.HotelLawBlog.com for months. Here are the latest thoughts.

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