Articles Posted in Outlook and Trends

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Author of www.HotelLawBlog.com
12 May 2008
Hotel Cap Rates are changing. What are hotel cap rates? What do the changes mean for your hotel buy or sell, hotel financing or refinancing, or next visit from the FDIC? What is the relationship between cap rates and equity return expectations?

What is happening to hotel cap rates? How does that affect every hotel buyer or seller, hotel investor or lender and analyst?

Meet the Money® — the annual hotel conference presented by JMBM’s hotel attorneys and their Global Hospitality Group — has just concluded another successful hotel finance conference with about 400 industry leaders gathered in Las Vegas to hear from hotel industry experts what is happening in our industry, and what is going to happen. Suzanne Mellen, Managing Director of HVS’ San Francisco office is one of the experts I look to in this area (smellen@hvs.com), and she gave us some great information that I want to share with you today.

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Author of www.HotelLawBlog.com
9 May 2008
Hotel Attorney at Meet the Money® — Report on Major Hotel Transactions by Suzanne R. Mellen, MAI, CRE, Managing Director of HVS, San Franciso. We always get the latest updates on the State of the Hotel Industry at Meet the Money® — JMBM’s annual hotel conference which just concluded its 18th annual edition. And one of my favorite updates is the one that Suzanne Mellen of HVS gives us on major hotel transactions.

Here is the very latest . . .

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Author of www.HotelLawBlog.com
8 May 2008
Hotel Attorney at JMBM’s Hotel Finance Conference: mood of the industry and where we go from here. It is May 8, 2008. JMBM’s 18th annual hotel conference, Meet the Money® 2008 wrapped up this afternoon, and more than 100 of the industry leaders have just shared their latest experiences and outlooks for the remainder of 2008 and beyond.

There is a consensus to the mood of these hotel financing sources and industry leaders. While we have spent two information-packed days getting the details, and nuances of this, here is the overview.

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Author of www.HotelLawBlog.com
7 May 2008
Hotel Attorney at JMBM’s 18th Annual Hotel Finance Conference: Hotel Industry’s “Think Tank” gives views on “Top 10 Issues”. Continuing a tradition of many years, the hotel industry’s “Think Tank” released its view on the LIIC Top 10 Issues for the industry.

Here’s what it said . . .

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Author of www.HotelLawBlog.com
3 February 2008
Hotel Lawyer reading the Smith Travel Research tea leaves from the ALIS Conference. A few days ago, Mark Lomanno made one of his great presentations at the ALIS (Americas Lodging Investment Summit) Conference to a ballroom packed with most of the 3,100 registered delegates. All were eager to hear the latest data, in order to see where we have been and where we are going. As usual, Mark was kind enough to share his latest slides. You don’t want to miss this!

My quick “take-away” summary? Last year was a very good year (5.5% RevPAR growth). This year will be good (4.5% RevPAR growth), all things considered, but it will better for some (luxury, mid segment without F&B, top 25 markets) than others, and there are warning clouds on the horizon.

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Author of www.HotelLawBlog.com
1 February 2008
Keywords:

Hotel Operating Agreement, HOA, Hotel Management Agreement, HMA, Hotel Management Contract, Management Contract. Hotel Operator, Hotel Manager, Hotel Owner. RFP for Hotel Manager. RFP for Hotel Operator, How to get a great hotel operator.

Terminology

Contracts between hotel owners and managers (or operators) controlling the management of a hotel go by various names. They are called hotel management agreements, HMAs, hotel management contracts or hotel operating agreements. For convenient reference, this article will generally use the term “Hotel Management Agreement” or “HMA.” However all these terms can be used interchangeably and mean the same thing, just as with hotel operator or hotel manager.

Whatever they are called, Hotel Management Agreements allocate risk between the hotel manager and the hotel owner. They are critical in determining the profitability and value of a hotel.

Hotel Lawyer on hotel management agreements and operator breach of duty. It may be an exaggeration to say that “JMBM wrote the book on hotel management agreements,” but we certainly know the area and have at least written a few chapters in that book. We have been helping owners, developers and lenders with many hundreds of hotel management agreements over the past 20 years. We have negotiated, re-negotiated, terminated and litigated almost every aspect of them, so the only thing surprising about the latest jury verdict handed down on January 25, 2008 against Marriott International and Ritz-Carlton is that it shows a continuing disconnect of operators who choose to ignore their contractual and fiduciary duties. (Search “Management Agreements” at www.HotelLawBlog.com)

In this case, one of our clients owned the Ritz-Carlton Bali which was managed under a typical long-term, no-cut management contract. A few days ago, after a 3 week trial, a jury sitting less than 10 miles from Ritz-Carlton’s home office ruled that the management contract was breached by Marriott International and Ritz-Carlton, giving the owner the right to terminate the contract, awarding $382,304 in compensatory damages, $10 million in punitive damages, plus attorneys fees and costs to the owner. The Wall Street Journal published an article today by Tamara Audi on the case. How does this happen?

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Author of www.HotelLawBlog.com
31 January 2008
Hotel Lawyer with GREEN GEMS from the Los Angeles Hotel Investment Conference.

Hotels are going green (really)! And sustainability is the hot issue in the hotel industry.
Although hotels have been the last real estate asset class to embrace sustainability, it looks like things are really changing. At the ALIS conference, recycling trash containers were a welcome sight, and the program featured a full panel on green hotels, a keynote, and lots of mentions about sustainability by many of the speakers.

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Author of www.HotelLawBlog.com
30 September 2007
Hotel Lawyer on why the SEC may soon be pushing the GREEN Bandwagon. Technically, most SEC disclosure guidelines or rules only require “disclosure.” They do not impose substantive regulation. But SEC guidelines tend to set the disclosure standards for state laws, and establish industry standards for fair disclosure. And frequently the bright spotlight of disclosure focuses such intense attention on particular issues, that it changes behavior as effectively as a substantive regulation. That might well become the case with “GREEN“.

Here’s what is happening . . .

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Author of www.HotelLawBlog.com
27 September 2007
Hotel Lawyer at the Phoenix Lodging Conference. The 13th edition of The Lodging Conference in Phoenix is very unique. For the first time in many years, there does NOT seem to be an overwhelming consensus about what is happening — at least as to the credit markets, and that is the big news here. Lodging fundamentals continue very strong, although occupancy may slip a small amount in 2008, and RevPAR growth will likely slow down (but it will continue to grow).

For many years there has been a clear and prevalent industry “mood” for hotel industry conferences (see for example, last year’s reports on www.HotelLawBlog.com on The Lodging Conference (“Ebullient Foreboding“), The January 2007 ALIS Conference, or even the NYU Conference in June 2007 (“forecast of ‘sunny skies’ for the hotel industry.”)

But this week’s conference has a fair number of knowledgeable people sounding like Chicken Little warning about the sky falling, and others claiming that we are just returning to a more normal scenario. The only clear consensus is that — for at least a while — this will NOT be “business as usual” for credit markets. Interest rates will be higher — at least 100 to 150 basis points. Loan to value (LTV) and debt service coverage (DSC) will be tougher — LTVs are likely to be more in the 65 – 75% range, and DSCs of 1.0 will more likely be 1.2 to 1.4. Construction lending will be very difficult to find in the near future, and underwriting will likely be much stricter. Here is what some industry leaders have to say.

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Author of www.HotelLawBlog.com
26 September 2007
Hotel Lawyer at the Phoenix Lodging Conference. Morris Lasky’s Phoenix Lodging Conference is always one of my favorite hotel gatherings each year, and last night the 13th edition of this event got underway with more than 1,400 people registered — up from 1,200 last year.

There is something about the beautiful setting at the Biltmore, the casual atmosphere (with many in shorts — or at least chinos — and short sleeve shirts) in the baking Arizona heat that fosters a comfortable, no-nonsense exchange of thoughts. But I do miss the early days when Morris “capped” attendance at 400, and you actually were able to move around and see all the people you wanted to in a more intimate environment. That is one unique compelling advantage that The Hotel Developers Conference™ and Meet the Money® still offer! Oh well, enough nostalgia. Here is my first take on mood of the Conference.

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